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cpa Offline
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Mike, I don't know how you know Obama's plan, but it sure seems conceivable to me that the vastly increased quantity of natural gas production might suggest another political reason for replacing coal fired plants with gas fired plants. We have a large coal fired plant in the area, but no talk of requiring it to be replaced.

RHD45 #271511 03/19/12 08:05 PM
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Two recent articles in the NY Times are somewhat related to the topic at hand. The first recounts attacks on science for theories and findings which were eventually vindicated. The second is an article about the increased longevity of cars being linked to the unintended consequences of the Environmental Protection Agency’s catalytic converter requirements.
http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/1...ters&st=cse
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/18/automo...ters&st=cse

Gnomon #271512 03/19/12 08:13 PM
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Originally Posted By: Gnomon


....science does not prove stuff - it proposes mechanisms that are the best fit to current data. Science only disproves...



Wow, so global warming is imagination from a scientific mind, but subject to disproving. There are many things that science can prove. Do we erect skyscrapers hoping they won't collapse, or tear into someones chest for heart surgery, hoping that things will be in the right place.

By the way Gnomon, I'm still curious how you are going to create matter.
Nca, it's all in you words that were quoted.

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Originally Posted By: AmarilloMike
I have been feeling poorly when I get up in the morning. I went to the doctor for diagnosis and help. He said "You may have a strange new disease that no one else has ever had and it may be fatal." I said "Oh my, is there a treatment." He said "Maybe. We think cutting your legs and arms off might save you if you really do have it and it is really fatal." I said "OK, I think I will wait a little while and see what happens."



reductio ad absurdum

RHD45 #271514 03/19/12 08:14 PM
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cpa I wrote "I believe", not "I know".

And I believe the reason he turned down the Keystone pipeline is that the total CO2 emissions for a gallon of gasoline at the pump made from tar sands is about twice that of crude oil(because of extraction and refining energy usage).

If you have a friend in management at the local generating plant or power company ask them. I would like to know. What I posted was not in the newspaper but from a friend.

Best,

Mike


Last edited by AmarilloMike; 03/19/12 08:49 PM.


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Gnomon #271516 03/19/12 08:16 PM
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Originally Posted By: Gnomon
Originally Posted By: AmarilloMike
I have been feeling poorly when I get up in the morning. I went to the doctor for diagnosis and help. He said "You may have a strange new disease that no one else has ever had and it may be fatal." I said "Oh my, is there a treatment." He said "Maybe. We think cutting your legs and arms off might save you if you really do have it and it is really fatal." I said "OK, I think I will wait a little while and see what happens."



reductio ad absurdum


Exactly!

Last edited by AmarilloMike; 03/19/12 08:16 PM.


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Originally Posted By: canvasback
Originally Posted By: cpa
Canvasback - "Climate scientists can't get the forecast right for a month from now in any local area. What makes you think they are getting this right."
Shotgun Jones - "...you may come to the conclusion as I did that man-caused climate change is a hoax."
I should have been more specific and written man-made global warming, but I thought everyone knew that's what was being discussed. Climatologists don't generally forecast a month in advance or for local areas - that's the province of meteorologists.

• "The universe is not required to be in perfect harmony with human ambition." Carl Sagan



cpa, like nca225, you either miss my point or are purposely avoiding it.

My point being that most "deniers" I am aware of are prepared to consider climate is changing.....as it has constantly over the last 600 million years at least. What we consider not to be proven is that man's activities over the last 150 years have had any significant impact on that possible climate change.

And my point being that I don't like nca225 saying I have said something I haven't. Words, in fact, are important.


What statement of yours did I misrepresent?

BTW I'm aware that you believe its part of a pattern and not being manipulated by man made activities.

I propose you consider the momentous scale of the negative and destructive effects of climate change that is changing at a rate different then the historical patterns and in a way that favors more destructive climatic events. For an example of such a way, consider the recent storms in the south east of the county that produced more tornadoes in one day then what historical patterns would indicate for an entire month. Same storm was the size of a hurricane as it was observed from space. The Defense Department even has concerns of mass famine, drought, and population shift as ecosystems across the world change.

You are right, we can not predict with certainty when the seas will rise and consume much of Florida, Louisiana or parts India or China. This is not a Katrina sized event here, and we know how well america dealt with that. Do you know what the models predict if we loose the ice caps? They are receding.

First you need address that the problem exists. To correct it you find the source of the problem. Without doing that you cant fix it.

The vast majority of independent scientists who are tasked with addressing this issue say its man made activities that is the culprit.

Considering the possible outcomes presented by climate change, I think its a nobel goal to work to address and ameliorate it. Other's mileage may vary and they, as many do, may wish ignore our part in it.

Shitty thing is we are all stuck with the same consequences, and being able to say I told you so isn't going to make me feel any better about it. I just hope my time comes before the worst of it is realized.


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cpa Offline
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Mike, sorry for misquoting you altho I wasn't trying to be adversarial. I know no managers at the nearby power plant but have heard nothing about a requirement to convert to natural gas. However, my understanding is that there has been such an increase in natural gas production in recent years that not only has the price dropped, but some producing wells are being shut in. It still seems quite conceivable to me that political influence might have something to do with a requirement to convert to gas. Could well be wrong.

RHD45 #271520 03/19/12 08:37 PM
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I propose that you consider the momentous scale of regulating a huge chunk of the wealth of our nation out of existence. And in the hope that the rest of the world will also sacrifice so that Florida and Louisiana don't flood in case global warming really is man-made and signifigant. I say again it is not CO2 that is the problem but people screwing and penicillin. And just like they refuse to give up screwing and keeping their kids alive with penicillin they are not going to give up fossil fuels either.

Shitty thing is we are all stuck with the same consequences. If my descendents are living a third world existence because ya'll decided that we needed go green and eliminate fossil fuels and it turns out global warming was not man-made or it turns out not to be a signifigant rise or it turns out the rest of the world did not go along they will still be poor and I will have been right.


Last edited by AmarilloMike; 03/19/12 08:42 PM.


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RHD45 #271523 03/19/12 08:41 PM
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No problem cpa and I did mis-read your tone. Thanks,

Mike



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