Miller, I would think probability would be over one in two. I have no dog in this 70 yd.+ pit & won't place one there, per se. However, perceived and actual lead better be somewhere between a Suburban and a Greyhound [Geno, 'Greyhound' is the name of an American bus or 'passenger lorry'?] if you want even a remote chance of connecting, at 70 yds +
And since this thread has gone on for a while longer than I might have anticipated .. on a skeet field the targets are the same speed irrespective of where the shooter is positioned or standing and the distance from station to station is constant to the center of the field or to the 'crossing point' where the regulation targets are 'hooped'. That means the only thing that changes is the perception, yes? Think about it, please.
edit: not intended to sound trite. I know it reads that way easily enough. Only trying to point out the obvious .. at long ranges even with sufficient shot size the pattern density is not there to do it consistently with anything but luck; perceived lead at long ranges is 'way out there', and I don't care what method you use; on a skeet field it is ALL perception.
Last edited by tw; 03/20/07 09:46 PM.