A chandelle from the side is a perfect example of why instinctive methods have limitations.
On the drop it is not unlike a bird settling into decoys outside the spread. Though faster, as ducks don't free fall when they land.
That shot must be taken below, and ahead, or, you shoot inside the arc of the clay. Same as for a settling duck. Below, and ahead of the feet on the way in. Or, you shoot above and inside of their arc. It takes a while to transfer that shot from the clays course out into the duck marsh. It's not a "shoot at their eye" kind of shot.


Out there doing it best I can.