quite interesting analysis of an incredibly complicated dynamic. tribal politics combined with religious animosities yield a predictably unstable reality across the entire region. but the likely most unstable "tectonic plates" on the globe are those you have cataloged here.
i'm a texas boy, and live one congressional district north of lufkin, home of charlie wilson. i suspect the world would be a measurably safer place had he been placed in complete control of our dealings in the region....
i'm reminded of this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-evIyrrjTTY