I read in Gough Thomas book that once metal barrel is stressed beyond elastic tensile strength limit or something like that a failure is inevitable. It will happen sooner or later but it will happen.
In the 70’s apparently “fatigue” followed by inevitable failure was a “fact” among a segment of the shotgunning public. Thomas, in his book of that period, “Shooting Facts and Fancies”, speaks to the concern in a section entitled, “Do Guns Tire?” and references an enquirer’s concern that a “considerable number of old guns … were coming to the end of their life” due to fatigue. He quotes a “well known” shooting writer (whom he leaves unnamed) who supports this position, “Metal tires with age and use, and becomes subject to fatigue.”
Thomas’ answer? “That is putting things in the woolliest possible terms, and as a general statement is simply not true.”
“… it is not age that induces fatigue in metal, nor is it use, as such, but only repeated stressing above the fatigue limit.”
“The thing that limits the safe life of any good, honestly-made gun is not the fair wear and tear it has had, but outstandingly the abuse or neglect it may have suffered.”
And in conclusion …
“The number of guns of all ages and grades that fail in normal service, other than those that have suffered abuse or neglect, or improper repair or some obstruction in the barrel, is utterly negligible, and the possibility of their so doing is well inside the margin of acceptable risk.
So herein is our dilemma. We may be able to see signs of neglect or abuse but we can’t “see” how the 100+ year old arm that we are shooting was stressed. We can’t know the internals of the metal used in that specific gun. And the designers and makers of these guns themselves didn’t know the fatigue limits of the guns when they made them.
So as I currently await the arrival of a “new” Damascus barreled double I can’t know what it’s experienced in its 121 years. I can only thoroughly inspect and measure it once it’s in hand and then make a determination as to whether it falls within my own “margin of acceptable risk.”